Single poll

INSA poll of 28 March 2026 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
23 to 27 Mar 2026
Respondents
1,205
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU/CSU26.0%±0
  • AfD26.0%±0
  • SPD14.0%-1.0
  • Grüne12.0%±0
  • Linke11.0%+1.0
  • FDP3.0%±0
  • BSW3.0%-0.5
  • Others5.0%+0.5

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 24 Mar 2026.

In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by AfD on 26.0%. 1,205 people were surveyed from 23 to 27 Mar 2026, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 24 Mar 2026, SPD loses 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 1.7 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Mar 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD +1.7average 24.3
  • Grüne -1.3average 13.3
  • Linke +1.0average 10.0
  • CDU/CSU -0.4average 26.4
  • SPD -0.4average 14.4
  • FDP -0.3average 3.3
  • BSW -0.2average 3.2
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 184 seatsAfD: 184 seatsSPD: 99 seatsGrüne: 85 seatsLinke: 78 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU184
  • AfD184
  • SPD99
  • Grüne85
  • Linke78
  • CDU/CSU + AfD368 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne368 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Grüne368 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke361 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Linke361 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke347 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + Linke347 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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