INSA poll of 31 March 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 27 to 30 Mar 2026
- Respondents
- 2,006
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU26.0%±0
- AfD26.0%±0
- SPD14.5%+0.5
- Grüne12.0%±0
- Linke10.5%-0.5
- BSW3.5%+0.5
- FDP3.0%±0
- Others4.5%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 28 Mar 2026.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by AfD on 26.0%. 2,006 people were surveyed from 27 to 30 Mar 2026, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 28 Mar 2026, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 1.7 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 31 Mar 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.7average 24.3
- Grüne -1.3average 13.3
- Linke +0.5average 10.0
- CDU/CSU -0.4average 26.4
- BSW +0.3average 3.2
- FDP -0.3average 3.3
- SPD +0.1average 14.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU184
- AfD184
- SPD103
- Grüne85
- Linke74
- CDU/CSU + AfD368 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne372 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke361 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke343 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke343 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.