INSA poll of 4 April 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 30 Mar 2026 to 2 Apr 2026
- Respondents
- 1,199
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- AfD26.0%±0
- CDU/CSU25.0%-1.0
- SPD13.0%-1.5
- Grüne12.0%±0
- Linke11.0%+0.5
- BSW4.0%+0.5
- FDP3.0%±0
- Others6.0%+1.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 31 Mar 2026.
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 25.0%. 1,199 people were surveyed from 30 Mar 2026 to 2 Apr 2026, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 31 Mar 2026, SPD loses 1.5 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 4 Apr 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.5average 24.5
- Grüne -1.4average 13.4
- CDU/CSU -1.1average 26.1
- SPD -1.1average 14.1
- BSW +1.0average 3.0
- Linke +0.9average 10.1
- FDP -0.3average 3.3
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD188
- CDU/CSU181
- SPD94
- Grüne87
- Linke80
- AfD + CDU/CSU369 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne369 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne362 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke348 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.