INSA poll of 24 January 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 19 to 23 Jan 2026
- Respondents
- 1,202
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- AfD26.0%±0
- CDU/CSU25.0%±0
- SPD15.0%+1.0
- Grüne11.0%-1.0
- Linke10.0%-0.5
- FDP4.0%±0
- BSW4.0%±0
- Others5.0%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 20 Jan 2026.
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 25.0%. 1,202 people were surveyed from 19 to 23 Jan 2026, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 20 Jan 2026, SPD gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 24 Jan 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.3average 12.3
- BSW +0.9average 3.1
- AfD +0.4average 25.6
- CDU/CSU -0.4average 25.4
- SPD +0.3average 14.7
- FDP +0.3average 3.7
- Linke ±0average 10.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD188
- CDU/CSU181
- SPD109
- Grüne80
- Linke72
- AfD + CDU/CSU369 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne377 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne370 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke362 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke340 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke333 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.