INSA poll of 27 January 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 23 to 26 Jan 2026
- Respondents
- 2,008
- Method
- Online
- AfD26.0%±0
- CDU/CSU25.0%±0
- SPD14.5%-0.5
- Grüne11.5%+0.5
- Linke10.5%+0.5
- BSW4.5%+0.5
- FDP4.0%±0
- Others4.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 24 Jan 2026.
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 25.0%. 2,008 people were surveyed from 23 to 26 Jan 2026, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 24 Jan 2026, no party moves by more than one point.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Jan 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- BSW +1.4average 3.1
- Grüne -0.8average 12.3
- AfD +0.6average 25.4
- CDU/CSU -0.4average 25.4
- FDP +0.4average 3.6
- SPD -0.3average 14.8
- Linke +0.2average 10.3
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD187
- CDU/CSU180
- SPD104
- Grüne83
- Linke76
- AfD + CDU/CSU367 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne374 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke367 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne367 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke360 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke339 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.