Single poll
INSA poll of 3 October 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 28 Sep 2026 to 2 Oct 2026
- Respondents
- 1,202
- Method
- Telefon & Online
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 30.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 18.0%. 1,202 people were surveyed from 28 Sep 2026 to 2 Oct 2026, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 29 Sep 2026, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 2.2 points higher and CDU/CSU 2.1 points lower.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 3 Oct 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +2.2average 27.8
- CDU/CSU -2.1average 20.1
- Linke -1.4average 11.4
- SPD +1.0average 13.0
- Grüne -0.9average 14.9
- BSW +0.5average 3.5
- FDP -0.3average 4.3
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD220
- CDU/CSU132
- SPD103
- Grüne102
- Linke73
- AfD + CDU/CSU352 of 630
- AfD + SPD323 of 630
- AfD + Grüne322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne337 of 630
More
More polls
← INSA, 29 Sep 2026INSA, 5 Oct 2026 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2026
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.