INSA poll of 29 September 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 25 to 28 Sep 2026
- Respondents
- 2,001
- Method
- Online
- AfD29.5%+0.5
- CDU/CSU19.0%±0
- SPD14.5%+0.5
- Grüne14.5%-0.5
- Linke10.0%±0
- FDP4.0%±0
- BSW3.5%+0.5
- Others5.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 26 Sep 2026.
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 29.5%, followed by CDU/CSU on 19.0%. 2,001 people were surveyed from 25 to 28 Sep 2026, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 26 Sep 2026, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 1.7 points higher and Linke 1.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 29 Sep 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.7average 27.8
- Linke -1.6average 11.6
- SPD +1.5average 13.0
- CDU/CSU -1.2average 20.2
- Grüne -0.3average 14.8
- FDP -0.3average 4.3
- BSW ±0average 3.5
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD213
- CDU/CSU137
- SPD104
- Grüne104
- Linke72
- AfD + CDU/CSU350 of 630
- AfD + SPD317 of 630
- AfD + Grüne317 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne345 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.