Single poll
INSA poll of 5 October 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 2 to 5 Oct 2026
- Respondents
- 2,002
- Method
- Online
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 30.5%, followed by CDU/CSU on 17.5%. 2,002 people were surveyed from 2 to 5 Oct 2026, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 3 Oct 2026, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 2.7 points higher and CDU/CSU 2.6 points lower.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 5 Oct 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +2.7average 27.8
- CDU/CSU -2.6average 20.1
- SPD +1.5average 13.0
- Linke -0.9average 11.4
- Grüne -0.4average 14.9
- FDP +0.2average 4.3
- BSW ±0average 3.5
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD220
- CDU/CSU126
- SPD104
- Grüne104
- Linke76
- AfD + CDU/CSU346 of 630
- AfD + SPD324 of 630
- AfD + Grüne324 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne334 of 630
More
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.