INSA poll of 6 December 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 1 to 5 Dec 2025
- Respondents
- 1,206
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- AfD26.0%-1.0
- CDU/CSU25.0%+0.5
- SPD15.0%+0.5
- Linke11.0%+0.5
- Grüne10.0%-1.0
- FDP4.0%+0.5
- BSW4.0%±0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 2 Dec 2025.
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 25.0%. 1,206 people were surveyed from 1 to 5 Dec 2025, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 2 Dec 2025, AfD loses 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 1.8 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Dec 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.8average 11.8
- CDU/CSU -0.9average 25.9
- Linke +0.8average 10.2
- FDP +0.6average 3.4
- SPD +0.5average 14.5
- BSW +0.5average 3.5
- AfD +0.3average 25.7
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD188
- CDU/CSU181
- SPD109
- Linke80
- Grüne72
- AfD + CDU/CSU369 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke377 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke370 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne362 of 630
- AfD + Linke + Grüne340 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne333 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.