INSA poll of 9 December 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 5 to 8 Dec 2025
- Respondents
- 2,007
- Method
- Online
- AfD26.5%+0.5
- CDU/CSU24.5%-0.5
- SPD15.0%±0
- Linke11.0%±0
- Grüne10.5%+0.5
- FDP4.0%±0
- BSW4.0%±0
- Others4.5%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 6 Dec 2025.
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 26.5%, followed by CDU/CSU on 24.5%. 2,007 people were surveyed from 5 to 8 Dec 2025, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 6 Dec 2025, no party moves by more than one point.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 9 Dec 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.3average 25.8
- Grüne -1.3average 11.8
- AfD +0.9average 25.6
- Linke +0.8average 10.2
- FDP +0.6average 3.4
- SPD +0.5average 14.5
- BSW +0.4average 3.6
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD191
- CDU/CSU176
- SPD108
- Linke79
- Grüne76
- AfD + CDU/CSU367 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke378 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne375 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke363 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne360 of 630
- AfD + Linke + Grüne346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne331 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.