INSA poll of 13 December 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 8 to 12 Dec 2025
- Respondents
- 1,201
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- AfD26.0%-0.5
- CDU/CSU24.0%-0.5
- SPD14.0%-1.0
- Grüne11.0%+0.5
- Linke11.0%±0
- FDP4.0%±0
- BSW4.0%±0
- Others6.0%+1.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 9 Dec 2025.
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 24.0%. 1,201 people were surveyed from 8 to 12 Dec 2025, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 9 Dec 2025, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 1.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 13 Dec 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.6average 25.6
- Grüne -0.9average 11.9
- AfD +0.6average 25.4
- Linke +0.6average 10.4
- FDP +0.4average 3.6
- BSW +0.4average 3.6
- SPD -0.2average 14.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD190
- CDU/CSU176
- SPD102
- Grüne81
- Linke81
- AfD + CDU/CSU366 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne373 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke373 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke359 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke338 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.