Single poll
INSA poll of 16 December 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 12 to 15 Dec 2025
- Respondents
- 2,006
- Method
- Online
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 25.0%. 2,006 people were surveyed from 12 to 15 Dec 2025, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 13 Dec 2025, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 1.6 points lower.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 16 Dec 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.6average 12.1
- BSW +0.9average 3.6
- AfD +0.6average 25.4
- CDU/CSU -0.6average 25.6
- FDP +0.4average 3.6
- SPD -0.1average 14.1
- Linke +0.1average 10.4
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD190
- CDU/CSU183
- SPD103
- Grüne77
- Linke77
- AfD + CDU/CSU373 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne370 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke370 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne363 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke363 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke344 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke337 of 630
More
More polls
← INSA, 13 Dec 2025INSA, 21 Dec 2025 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2025
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.