INSA poll of 2 December 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 28 Nov 2025 to 1 Dec 2025
- Respondents
- 2,002
- Method
- Online
- AfD27.0%±0
- CDU/CSU24.5%-0.5
- SPD14.5%-0.5
- Grüne11.0%±0
- Linke10.5%+0.5
- BSW4.0%±0
- FDP3.5%+0.5
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 28 Nov 2025.
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 27.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 24.5%. 2,002 people were surveyed from 28 Nov 2025 to 1 Dec 2025, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 28 Nov 2025, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 1.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 2 Dec 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.5average 26.0
- AfD +1.4average 25.6
- Grüne -0.8average 11.8
- BSW +0.6average 3.4
- SPD +0.1average 14.4
- Linke +0.1average 10.4
- FDP +0.1average 3.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD195
- CDU/CSU176
- SPD104
- Grüne79
- Linke76
- AfD + CDU/CSU371 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne378 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke375 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke356 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke350 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke331 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.