Single poll

INSA poll of 28 November 2025 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
24 to 28 Nov 2025
Respondents
1,198
Method
Telefon & Online
  • AfD27.0%+1.0
  • CDU/CSU25.0%-0.5
  • SPD15.0%±0
  • Grüne11.0%±0
  • Linke10.0%-0.5
  • BSW4.0%±0
  • FDP3.0%±0
  • Others5.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 25 Nov 2025.

In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 27.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 25.0%. 1,198 people were surveyed from 24 to 28 Nov 2025, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 25 Nov 2025, AfD gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Nov 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD +1.4average 25.6
  • CDU/CSU -1.0average 26.0
  • Grüne -0.8average 11.8
  • SPD +0.6average 14.4
  • BSW +0.6average 3.4
  • Linke -0.4average 10.4
  • FDP -0.4average 3.4
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

AfD: 193 seatsCDU/CSU: 179 seatsSPD: 107 seatsGrüne: 79 seatsLinke: 72 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • AfD193
  • CDU/CSU179
  • SPD107
  • Grüne79
  • Linke72
  • AfD + CDU/CSU372 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Grüne379 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Linke372 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne365 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke358 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + Linke344 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke330 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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