INSA poll of 25 November 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 21 to 24 Nov 2025
- Respondents
- 2,008
- Method
- Online
- AfD26.0%±0
- CDU/CSU25.5%+0.5
- SPD15.0%±0
- Grüne11.0%±0
- Linke10.5%+0.5
- BSW4.0%±0
- FDP3.0%±0
- Others5.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 22 Nov 2025.
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 25.5%. 2,008 people were surveyed from 21 to 24 Nov 2025, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 22 Nov 2025, no party moves by more than one point.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 25 Nov 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -0.8average 11.8
- SPD +0.6average 14.4
- BSW +0.6average 3.4
- CDU/CSU -0.5average 26.0
- AfD +0.4average 25.6
- FDP -0.4average 3.4
- Linke +0.1average 10.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD186
- CDU/CSU183
- SPD107
- Grüne79
- Linke75
- AfD + CDU/CSU369 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne369 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke368 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke365 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke340 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke337 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.