INSA poll of 22 November 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 17 to 21 Nov 2025
- Respondents
- 1,208
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- AfD26.0%±0
- CDU/CSU25.0%+0.5
- SPD15.0%±0
- Grüne11.0%±0
- Linke10.0%-1.0
- BSW4.0%±0
- FDP3.0%-0.5
- Others6.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 18 Nov 2025.
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 25.0%. 1,208 people were surveyed from 17 to 21 Nov 2025, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 18 Nov 2025, Linke loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 22 Nov 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.0average 26.0
- Grüne -0.8average 11.8
- SPD +0.6average 14.4
- BSW +0.6average 3.4
- AfD +0.4average 25.6
- Linke -0.4average 10.4
- FDP -0.4average 3.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD188
- CDU/CSU181
- SPD109
- Grüne80
- Linke72
- AfD + CDU/CSU369 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne377 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne370 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke362 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke340 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke333 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.