Single poll
INSA poll of 18 November 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 14 to 17 Nov 2025
- Respondents
- 2,006
- Method
- Online
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 24.5%. 2,006 people were surveyed from 14 to 17 Nov 2025, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 15 Nov 2025, no party moves by more than one point.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 18 Nov 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.4average 25.9
- Grüne -0.8average 11.8
- SPD +0.6average 14.4
- Linke +0.6average 10.4
- BSW +0.6average 3.4
- AfD +0.4average 25.6
- FDP +0.3average 3.2
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD187
- CDU/CSU177
- SPD108
- Grüne79
- Linke79
- AfD + CDU/CSU364 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne374 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke374 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne364 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke364 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke335 of 630
More
More polls
← INSA, 15 Nov 2025INSA, 22 Nov 2025 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2025
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.