INSA poll of 23 June 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 20 to 23 Jun 2025
- Respondents
- 2,002
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU27.5%-0.5
- AfD23.0%±0
- SPD16.0%±0
- Grüne11.5%+0.5
- Linke10.0%+1.0
- BSW4.5%+0.5
- FDP4.0%±0
- Others3.5%-1.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 22 Jun 2025.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.5%, followed by AfD on 23.0%. 2,002 people were surveyed from 20 to 23 Jun 2025, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 22 Jun 2025, Linke gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Jun 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +1.0average 15.0
- FDP +0.7average 3.3
- BSW +0.5average 4.0
- CDU/CSU -0.2average 27.7
- AfD -0.1average 23.1
- Grüne -0.1average 11.6
- Linke +0.1average 9.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU197
- AfD165
- SPD114
- Grüne82
- Linke72
- CDU/CSU + AfD362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne393 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke383 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke351 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke351 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke319 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.