Single poll

INSA poll of 22 June 2025 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
16 to 20 Jun 2025
Respondents
1,205
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU/CSU28.0%+1.0
  • AfD23.0%±0
  • SPD16.0%±0
  • Grüne11.0%-0.5
  • Linke9.0%-1.5
  • FDP4.0%±0
  • BSW4.0%±0
  • Others5.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 17 Jun 2025.

In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by AfD on 23.0%. 1,205 people were surveyed from 16 to 20 Jun 2025, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 17 Jun 2025, Linke loses 1.5 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 22 Jun 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD +1.0average 15.0
  • Linke -0.8average 9.8
  • Grüne -0.6average 11.6
  • FDP +0.6average 3.4
  • CDU/CSU +0.3average 27.7
  • BSW -0.1average 4.1
  • AfD ±0average 23.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 203 seatsAfD: 166 seatsSPD: 116 seatsGrüne: 80 seatsLinke: 65 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU203
  • AfD166
  • SPD116
  • Grüne80
  • Linke65
  • CDU/CSU + AfD369 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD319 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Grüne362 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke348 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Linke347 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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