INSA poll of 17 June 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 13 to 16 Jun 2025
- Respondents
- 2,006
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU27.0%±0
- AfD23.0%±0
- SPD16.0%-1.0
- Grüne11.5%+0.5
- Linke10.5%+0.5
- FDP4.0%±0
- BSW4.0%±0
- Others4.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 15 Jun 2025.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by AfD on 23.0%. 2,006 people were surveyed from 13 to 16 Jun 2025, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 15 Jun 2025, SPD loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 17 Jun 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +0.8average 15.2
- FDP +0.7average 3.3
- Linke +0.4average 10.1
- CDU/CSU -0.2average 27.2
- AfD -0.2average 23.2
- Grüne -0.1average 11.6
- BSW ±0average 4.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU193
- AfD165
- SPD115
- Grüne82
- Linke75
- CDU/CSU + AfD358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne390 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke383 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne362 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke350 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.