INSA poll of 15 June 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 10 to 13 Jun 2025
- Respondents
- 1,203
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU27.0%-0.5
- AfD23.0%+0.5
- SPD17.0%+1.0
- Grüne11.0%±0
- Linke10.0%±0
- FDP4.0%±0
- BSW4.0%-0.5
- Others4.0%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 11 Jun 2025.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by AfD on 23.0%. 1,203 people were surveyed from 10 to 13 Jun 2025, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 11 Jun 2025, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has SPD 1.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 15 Jun 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +1.6average 15.4
- Grüne -0.6average 11.6
- FDP +0.6average 3.4
- AfD -0.4average 23.4
- Linke -0.3average 10.3
- BSW +0.1average 3.9
- CDU/CSU ±0average 27.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU193
- AfD164
- SPD122
- Grüne79
- Linke72
- CDU/CSU + AfD357 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne394 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke387 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne365 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke344 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.