INSA poll of 11 June 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 6 to 10 Jun 2025
- Respondents
- 2,004
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU27.5%+0.5
- AfD22.5%-0.5
- SPD16.0%±0
- Grüne11.0%±0
- Linke10.0%±0
- BSW4.5%+0.5
- FDP4.0%±0
- Others4.5%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 7 Jun 2025.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.5%, followed by AfD on 22.5%. 2,004 people were surveyed from 6 to 10 Jun 2025, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 7 Jun 2025, no party moves by more than one point.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Jun 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -0.9average 23.4
- SPD +0.6average 15.4
- Grüne -0.6average 11.6
- BSW +0.6average 3.9
- FDP +0.6average 3.4
- CDU/CSU +0.5average 27.0
- Linke -0.3average 10.3
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU199
- AfD163
- SPD116
- Grüne80
- Linke72
- CDU/CSU + AfD362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne395 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke387 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke351 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke351 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.