Single poll

INSA poll of 7 June 2025 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
2 to 6 Jun 2025
Respondents
1,202
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU/CSU27.0%+0.5
  • AfD23.0%-1.5
  • SPD16.0%±0
  • Grüne11.0%+0.5
  • Linke10.0%-0.5
  • FDP4.0%±0
  • BSW4.0%±0
  • Others5.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 2 Jun 2025.

In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by AfD on 23.0%. 1,202 people were surveyed from 2 to 6 Jun 2025, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 2 Jun 2025, AfD loses 1.5 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Jun 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne -0.7average 11.7
  • FDP +0.7average 3.3
  • SPD +0.5average 15.5
  • AfD -0.3average 23.3
  • Linke -0.3average 10.3
  • BSW +0.1average 3.9
  • CDU/CSU ±0average 27.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 195 seatsAfD: 167 seatsSPD: 116 seatsGrüne: 80 seatsLinke: 72 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU195
  • AfD167
  • SPD116
  • Grüne80
  • Linke72
  • CDU/CSU + AfD362 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne391 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke383 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Grüne363 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Linke355 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke347 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + Linke319 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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