INSA poll of 2 June 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 30 May 2025 to 2 Jun 2025
- Respondents
- 2,002
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU26.5%+0.5
- AfD24.5%+0.5
- SPD16.0%-1.0
- Grüne10.5%+0.5
- Linke10.5%-0.5
- FDP4.0%±0
- BSW4.0%±0
- Others4.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 31 May 2025.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.5%, followed by AfD on 24.5%. 2,002 people were surveyed from 30 May 2025 to 2 Jun 2025, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 31 May 2025, SPD loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 2 Jun 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.1average 11.6
- AfD +0.7average 23.8
- SPD +0.5average 15.5
- FDP +0.4average 3.6
- Linke +0.3average 10.2
- CDU/CSU +0.1average 26.4
- BSW ±0average 4.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU190
- AfD175
- SPD115
- Grüne75
- Linke75
- CDU/CSU + AfD365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne380 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke380 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne365 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke340 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.