INSA poll of 31 May 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 26 to 30 May 2025
- Respondents
- 1,203
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU26.0%±0
- AfD24.0%-0.5
- SPD17.0%+1.0
- Linke11.0%+1.0
- Grüne10.0%-1.0
- FDP4.0%+0.5
- BSW4.0%-0.5
- Others4.0%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 27 May 2025.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by AfD on 24.0%. 1,203 people were surveyed from 26 to 30 May 2025, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 27 May 2025, SPD gains 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 1.6 points lower and SPD 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 31 May 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.6average 11.6
- SPD +1.5average 15.5
- Linke +0.8average 10.2
- CDU/CSU -0.4average 26.4
- FDP +0.4average 3.6
- AfD +0.2average 23.8
- BSW ±0average 4.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU186
- AfD172
- SPD122
- Linke79
- Grüne71
- CDU/CSU + AfD358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke387 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne379 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke373 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne336 of 630
- AfD + Linke + Grüne322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.