INSA poll of 27 May 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 23 to 26 May 2025
- Respondents
- 2,006
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU26.0%-1.0
- AfD24.5%+0.5
- SPD16.0%±0
- Grüne11.0%±0
- Linke10.0%±0
- BSW4.5%+0.5
- FDP3.5%-0.5
- Others4.5%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 24 May 2025.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by AfD on 24.5%. 2,006 people were surveyed from 23 to 26 May 2025, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 24 May 2025, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 27 May 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +0.7average 23.8
- Grüne -0.6average 11.6
- SPD +0.5average 15.5
- BSW +0.5average 4.0
- CDU/CSU -0.4average 26.4
- Linke -0.2average 10.2
- FDP -0.1average 3.6
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU187
- AfD177
- SPD115
- Grüne79
- Linke72
- CDU/CSU + AfD364 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne381 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke374 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne371 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke364 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke338 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke328 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.