INSA poll of 24 May 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 19 to 23 May 2025
- Respondents
- 1,198
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU27.0%+1.0
- AfD24.0%-0.5
- SPD16.0%+0.5
- Grüne11.0%±0
- Linke10.0%±0
- FDP4.0%+0.5
- BSW4.0%±0
- Others4.0%-1.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 20 May 2025.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by AfD on 24.0%. 1,198 people were surveyed from 19 to 23 May 2025, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 20 May 2025, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 24 May 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +0.6average 26.4
- Grüne -0.6average 11.6
- SPD +0.5average 15.5
- FDP +0.4average 3.6
- AfD +0.2average 23.8
- Linke -0.2average 10.2
- BSW ±0average 4.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU193
- AfD172
- SPD114
- Grüne79
- Linke72
- CDU/CSU + AfD365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne386 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke379 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne365 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke344 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke323 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.