Single poll
INSA poll of 20 May 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 16 to 19 May 2025
- Respondents
- 2,008
- Method
- Online
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by AfD on 24.5%. 2,008 people were surveyed from 16 to 19 May 2025, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 16 May 2025, no party moves by more than one point.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 20 May 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -0.6average 11.6
- AfD +0.5average 24.0
- CDU/CSU -0.4average 26.4
- SPD +0.1average 15.4
- FDP -0.1average 3.6
- Linke ±0average 10.0
- BSW ±0average 4.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU188
- AfD178
- SPD112
- Grüne80
- Linke72
- CDU/CSU + AfD366 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne380 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke372 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne370 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke340 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke330 of 630
More
More polls
← INSA, 16 May 2025INSA, 24 May 2025 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2025
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.