INSA poll of 16 May 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 12 to 16 May 2025
- Respondents
- 1,205
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU26.0%+1.0
- AfD25.0%+0.5
- SPD16.0%±0
- Grüne11.0%±0
- Linke10.0%±0
- BSW4.0%±0
- FDP3.0%-0.5
- Others5.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 12 May 2025.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by AfD on 25.0%. 1,205 people were surveyed from 12 to 16 May 2025, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 12 May 2025, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 16 May 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +0.7average 24.3
- SPD +0.5average 15.5
- Grüne -0.5average 11.5
- FDP -0.5average 3.5
- CDU/CSU -0.3average 26.3
- Linke +0.1average 9.9
- BSW -0.1average 4.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU186
- AfD179
- SPD114
- Grüne79
- Linke72
- CDU/CSU + AfD365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne379 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke372 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne372 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke337 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke330 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.