INSA poll of 12 May 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 9 to 12 May 2025
- Respondents
- 2,004
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU25.0%±0
- AfD24.5%+0.5
- SPD16.0%±0
- Grüne11.0%±0
- Linke10.0%±0
- BSW4.0%±0
- FDP3.5%-0.5
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 10 May 2025.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 25.0%, followed by AfD on 24.5%. 2,004 people were surveyed from 9 to 12 May 2025, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 10 May 2025, no party moves by more than one point.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 12 May 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.0average 26.0
- SPD +0.6average 15.4
- Grüne -0.6average 11.6
- AfD +0.2average 24.3
- FDP -0.2average 3.7
- Linke -0.1average 10.1
- BSW +0.1average 3.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU182
- AfD178
- SPD117
- Grüne80
- Linke73
- CDU/CSU + AfD360 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne379 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne375 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke372 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke368 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke335 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke331 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.