INSA poll of 28 June 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 23 to 27 Jun 2025
- Respondents
- 1,202
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU28.0%+0.5
- AfD24.0%+1.0
- SPD16.0%±0
- Grüne11.0%-0.5
- Linke9.0%-1.0
- BSW5.0%+0.5
- FDP3.0%-1.0
- Others4.0%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 23 Jun 2025.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by AfD on 24.0%. 1,202 people were surveyed from 23 to 27 Jun 2025, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 23 Jun 2025, AfD gains 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Jun 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.0average 23.0
- SPD +1.0average 15.0
- BSW +1.0average 4.0
- Linke -0.8average 9.8
- Grüne -0.6average 11.6
- FDP -0.3average 3.3
- CDU/CSU +0.1average 27.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU190
- AfD163
- SPD108
- Grüne74
- Linke61
- BSW34
- CDU/CSU + AfD353 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke359 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + BSW332 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.