Single poll
INSA poll of 1 July 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 27 to 30 Jun 2025
- Respondents
- 2,008
- Method
- Online
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by AfD on 23.5%. 2,008 people were surveyed from 27 to 30 Jun 2025, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 28 Jun 2025, no party moves by more than one point.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 1 Jul 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- BSW +1.0average 4.0
- AfD +0.5average 23.0
- SPD +0.5average 15.0
- Linke -0.3average 9.8
- FDP +0.2average 3.3
- CDU/CSU +0.1average 27.9
- Grüne -0.1average 11.6
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU190
- AfD159
- SPD105
- Grüne78
- Linke64
- BSW34
- CDU/CSU + AfD349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne373 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke359 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + BSW329 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke328 of 630
More
More polls
← INSA, 28 Jun 2025INSA, 5 Jul 2025 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2025
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.