INSA poll of 5 July 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 30 Jun 2025 to 4 Jul 2025
- Respondents
- 1,205
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU28.0%±0
- AfD24.0%+0.5
- SPD15.0%-0.5
- Grüne11.0%-0.5
- Linke11.0%+1.5
- FDP4.0%+0.5
- BSW4.0%-1.0
- Others3.0%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 1 Jul 2025.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by AfD on 24.0%. 1,205 people were surveyed from 30 Jun 2025 to 4 Jul 2025, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 1 Jul 2025, Linke gains 1.5 points, BSW loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 5 Jul 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke +1.2average 9.8
- AfD +1.1average 22.9
- FDP +0.8average 3.2
- Grüne -0.7average 11.7
- CDU/CSU -0.3average 28.3
- SPD +0.1average 14.9
- BSW +0.1average 3.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU198
- AfD170
- SPD106
- Grüne78
- Linke78
- CDU/CSU + AfD368 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne382 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke382 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke354 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne354 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke354 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke326 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.