INSA poll of 7 July 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 4 to 7 Jul 2025
- Respondents
- 2,007
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU28.0%±0
- AfD23.5%-0.5
- SPD14.5%-0.5
- Grüne11.0%±0
- Linke11.0%±0
- BSW4.5%+0.5
- FDP3.5%-0.5
- Others4.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 5 Jul 2025.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by AfD on 23.5%. 2,007 people were surveyed from 4 to 7 Jul 2025, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 5 Jul 2025, no party moves by more than one point.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Jul 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke +1.2average 9.8
- Grüne -0.7average 11.7
- AfD +0.6average 22.9
- BSW +0.6average 3.9
- SPD -0.4average 14.9
- CDU/CSU -0.3average 28.3
- FDP +0.3average 3.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU200
- AfD168
- SPD104
- Grüne79
- Linke79
- CDU/CSU + AfD368 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne383 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke383 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke358 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne351 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke351 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke326 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.