INSA poll of 21 April 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 17 to 20 Apr 2026
- Respondents
- 2,003
- Method
- Online
- AfD26.5%-0.5
- CDU/CSU24.0%±0
- SPD14.0%±0
- Grüne12.5%-0.5
- Linke11.0%±0
- FDP3.5%+0.5
- BSW3.5%+0.5
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 18 Apr 2026.
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 26.5%, followed by CDU/CSU on 24.0%. 2,003 people were surveyed from 17 to 20 Apr 2026, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 18 Apr 2026, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 1.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Apr 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.5average 14.0
- SPD +1.0average 13.0
- AfD +0.9average 25.6
- CDU/CSU -0.7average 24.7
- Linke +0.4average 10.6
- BSW +0.3average 3.2
- FDP -0.2average 3.7
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD190
- CDU/CSU172
- SPD100
- Grüne89
- Linke79
- AfD + CDU/CSU362 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne379 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne361 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke340 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.