INSA poll of 18 April 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 13 to 17 Apr 2026
- Respondents
- 1,201
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- AfD27.0%+1.0
- CDU/CSU24.0%-1.0
- SPD14.0%±0
- Grüne13.0%+0.5
- Linke11.0%+1.0
- FDP3.0%-0.5
- BSW3.0%-0.5
- Others5.0%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 14 Apr 2026.
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 27.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 24.0%. 1,201 people were surveyed from 13 to 17 Apr 2026, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 14 Apr 2026, AfD gains 1.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 1.9 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 18 Apr 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.9average 25.1
- CDU/CSU -1.1average 25.1
- Grüne -0.6average 13.6
- FDP -0.6average 3.6
- Linke +0.5average 10.5
- SPD +0.4average 13.6
- BSW -0.2average 3.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD191
- CDU/CSU170
- SPD99
- Grüne92
- Linke78
- AfD + CDU/CSU361 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne382 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke368 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke347 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke340 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.