Single poll

INSA poll of 14 April 2026 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD
Fieldwork period
10 to 13 Apr 2026
Respondents
2,006
Method
Online
  • AfD26.0%±0
  • CDU/CSU25.0%±0
  • SPD14.0%±0
  • Grüne12.5%-0.5
  • Linke10.0%±0
  • FDP3.5%+0.5
  • BSW3.5%-0.5
  • Others5.5%+0.5

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 11 Apr 2026.

In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 25.0%. 2,006 people were surveyed from 10 to 13 Apr 2026, method Online, commissioned by BILD.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 11 Apr 2026, no party moves by more than one point.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Apr 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne -1.1average 13.6
  • AfD +1.0average 25.0
  • CDU/CSU -0.6average 25.6
  • BSW +0.5average 3.0
  • Linke -0.3average 10.3
  • SPD +0.1average 13.9
  • FDP -0.1average 3.6
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

AfD: 187 seatsCDU/CSU: 180 seatsSPD: 101 seatsGrüne: 90 seatsLinke: 72 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • AfD187
  • CDU/CSU180
  • SPD101
  • Grüne90
  • Linke72
  • AfD + CDU/CSU367 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Grüne378 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne371 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Linke360 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke353 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + Linke349 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke342 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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