Single poll

INSA poll of 25 April 2026 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
20 to 24 Apr 2026
Respondents
1,203
Method
Telefon & Online
  • AfD28.0%+1.5
  • CDU/CSU24.0%±0
  • SPD14.0%±0
  • Grüne12.0%-0.5
  • Linke11.0%±0
  • FDP3.0%-0.5
  • BSW3.0%-0.5
  • Others5.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 21 Apr 2026.

In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 28.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 24.0%. 1,203 people were surveyed from 20 to 24 Apr 2026, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 21 Apr 2026, AfD gains 1.5 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 2.4 points higher and Grüne 2.0 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 25 Apr 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD +2.4average 25.6
  • Grüne -2.0average 14.0
  • SPD +1.0average 13.0
  • CDU/CSU -0.7average 24.7
  • FDP -0.7average 3.7
  • Linke +0.4average 10.6
  • BSW -0.2average 3.2
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

AfD: 198 seatsCDU/CSU: 170 seatsSPD: 99 seatsGrüne: 85 seatsLinke: 78 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • AfD198
  • CDU/CSU170
  • SPD99
  • Grüne85
  • Linke78
  • AfD + CDU/CSU368 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Grüne382 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Linke375 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + Linke361 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne354 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke347 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke333 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

Table as CSV

To download we need your e-mail address once. After that every table on the site downloads directly.