INSA poll of 18 October 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 13 to 17 Oct 2025
- Respondents
- 1,200
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- AfD27.0%+0.5
- CDU/CSU25.0%±0
- SPD14.0%±0
- Grüne11.0%-0.5
- Linke11.0%+0.5
- FDP4.0%±0
- BSW4.0%±0
- Others4.0%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 14 Oct 2025.
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 27.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 25.0%. 1,200 people were surveyed from 13 to 17 Oct 2025, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 14 Oct 2025, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 1.7 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 18 Oct 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.7average 25.3
- FDP +0.8average 3.2
- CDU/CSU -0.7average 25.7
- SPD -0.7average 14.7
- Linke +0.4average 10.6
- Grüne -0.3average 11.3
- BSW +0.1average 3.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD193
- CDU/CSU179
- SPD100
- Grüne79
- Linke79
- AfD + CDU/CSU372 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne372 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke358 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke337 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.