INSA poll of 14 October 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 10 to 13 Oct 2025
- Respondents
- 2,008
- Method
- Online
- AfD26.5%+0.5
- CDU/CSU25.0%+1.0
- SPD14.0%±0
- Grüne11.5%-0.5
- Linke10.5%-0.5
- FDP4.0%±0
- BSW4.0%±0
- Others4.5%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 12 Oct 2025.
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 26.5%, followed by CDU/CSU on 25.0%. 2,008 people were surveyed from 10 to 13 Oct 2025, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 12 Oct 2025, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Oct 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.2average 25.3
- SPD -0.8average 14.8
- CDU/CSU -0.7average 25.7
- FDP +0.6average 3.4
- Grüne +0.2average 11.3
- Linke +0.1average 10.4
- BSW +0.1average 3.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD191
- CDU/CSU180
- SPD101
- Grüne83
- Linke75
- AfD + CDU/CSU371 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne375 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke367 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne364 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke356 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke338 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.