INSA poll of 12 October 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 6 to 10 Oct 2025
- Respondents
- 1,224
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- AfD26.0%-0.5
- CDU/CSU24.0%-0.5
- SPD14.0%-0.5
- Grüne12.0%+1.0
- Linke11.0%-0.5
- FDP4.0%+0.5
- BSW4.0%±0
- Others5.0%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 6 Oct 2025.
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 24.0%. 1,224 people were surveyed from 6 to 10 Oct 2025, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 6 Oct 2025, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 1.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Oct 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.7average 25.7
- SPD -0.8average 14.8
- AfD +0.7average 25.3
- Grüne +0.7average 11.3
- Linke +0.6average 10.4
- FDP +0.6average 3.4
- BSW +0.1average 3.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD188
- CDU/CSU174
- SPD101
- Grüne87
- Linke80
- AfD + CDU/CSU362 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne376 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne362 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke341 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.