INSA poll of 6 October 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 2 to 6 Oct 2025
- Respondents
- 2,010
- Method
- Online
- AfD26.5%+0.5
- CDU/CSU24.5%+0.5
- SPD14.5%+0.5
- Linke11.5%-0.5
- Grüne11.0%±0
- BSW4.0%±0
- FDP3.5%-0.5
- Others4.5%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 4 Oct 2025.
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 26.5%, followed by CDU/CSU on 24.5%. 2,010 people were surveyed from 2 to 6 Oct 2025, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 4 Oct 2025, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 1.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Oct 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.5average 26.0
- AfD +1.2average 25.3
- Linke +1.1average 10.4
- SPD -0.3average 14.8
- Grüne -0.2average 11.2
- FDP +0.2average 3.3
- BSW +0.1average 3.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD190
- CDU/CSU175
- SPD104
- Linke82
- Grüne79
- AfD + CDU/CSU365 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke376 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne373 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne358 of 630
- AfD + Linke + Grüne351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne336 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.