INSA poll of 15 September 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 11 to 14 Sep 2026
- Respondents
- 2,006
- Method
- Online
- AfD29.0%±0
- CDU/CSU19.5%-0.5
- Grüne14.0%±0
- SPD12.5%-0.5
- Linke10.5%+0.5
- FDP4.5%+0.5
- BSW3.5%+0.5
- Others6.5%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 12 Sep 2026.
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 29.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 19.5%. 2,006 people were surveyed from 11 to 14 Sep 2026, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 12 Sep 2026, no party moves by more than one point.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 15 Sep 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.1average 20.6
- AfD +0.9average 28.1
- Linke -0.9average 11.4
- Grüne -0.7average 14.7
- BSW +0.3average 3.2
- SPD -0.1average 12.6
- FDP -0.1average 4.6
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD214
- CDU/CSU144
- Grüne103
- SPD92
- Linke77
- AfD + CDU/CSU358 of 630
- AfD + Grüne317 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke383 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke324 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.