INSA poll of 23 August 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 17 to 21 Aug 2026
- Respondents
- 1,203
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- AfD29.0%+0.5
- CDU/CSU21.0%+0.5
- Grüne13.0%±0
- SPD12.0%±0
- Linke11.0%-1.0
- FDP5.0%±0
- BSW3.0%±0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 18 Aug 2026.
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 29.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 21.0%. 1,203 people were surveyed from 17 to 21 Aug 2026, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 18 Aug 2026, Linke loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 1.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Aug 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.5average 14.5
- AfD +1.3average 27.7
- Linke -0.6average 11.6
- CDU/CSU -0.4average 21.4
- FDP +0.4average 4.6
- BSW +0.2average 2.8
- SPD -0.1average 12.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD201
- CDU/CSU145
- Grüne90
- SPD83
- Linke76
- FDP35
- AfD + CDU/CSU346 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + SPD374 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke367 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke360 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + FDP326 of 630
- AfD + SPD + FDP319 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.