INSA poll of 25 August 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 21 to 24 Aug 2026
- Respondents
- 2,004
- Method
- Online
- AfD29.0%±0
- CDU/CSU20.5%-0.5
- Grüne13.5%+0.5
- SPD12.0%±0
- Linke11.0%±0
- FDP4.5%-0.5
- BSW3.0%±0
- Others6.5%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 23 Aug 2026.
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 29.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 20.5%. 2,004 people were surveyed from 21 to 24 Aug 2026, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 23 Aug 2026, no party moves by more than one point.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 25 Aug 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.3average 27.7
- CDU/CSU -0.8average 21.3
- Grüne -0.8average 14.3
- Linke -0.6average 11.6
- SPD -0.4average 12.4
- FDP -0.2average 4.7
- BSW ±0average 3.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD212
- CDU/CSU150
- Grüne99
- SPD88
- Linke81
- AfD + CDU/CSU362 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + SPD399 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke392 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke381 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD337 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke330 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke319 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.