Single poll

INSA poll of 29 August 2026 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
24 to 28 Aug 2026
Respondents
1,200
Method
Telefon & Online
  • AfD29.0%±0
  • CDU/CSU20.0%-0.5
  • Grüne13.0%-0.5
  • SPD12.0%±0
  • Linke10.0%-1.0
  • FDP4.0%-0.5
  • BSW4.0%+1.0
  • Others8.0%+1.5

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 25 Aug 2026.

In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 29.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 20.0%. 1,200 people were surveyed from 24 to 28 Aug 2026, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 25 Aug 2026, Linke loses 1.0 points, BSW gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Linke 1.6 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 29 Aug 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Linke -1.6average 11.6
  • Grüne -1.4average 14.4
  • AfD +1.2average 27.8
  • CDU/CSU -1.2average 21.2
  • BSW +1.2average 2.8
  • FDP -0.7average 4.7
  • SPD -0.4average 12.4
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

AfD: 217 seatsCDU/CSU: 150 seatsGrüne: 98 seatsSPD: 90 seatsLinke: 75 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • AfD217
  • CDU/CSU150
  • Grüne98
  • SPD90
  • Linke75
  • AfD + CDU/CSU367 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + SPD405 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + Linke390 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Linke382 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD338 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke323 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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