INSA poll of 1 September 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 28 to 31 Aug 2026
- Respondents
- 2,002
- Method
- Online
- AfD29.0%±0
- CDU/CSU20.5%+0.5
- Grüne13.5%+0.5
- SPD12.0%±0
- Linke10.5%+0.5
- FDP4.5%+0.5
- BSW3.5%-0.5
- Others6.5%-1.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 29 Aug 2026.
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 29.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 20.5%. 2,002 people were surveyed from 28 to 31 Aug 2026, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 29 Aug 2026, no party moves by more than one point.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 1 Sep 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.2average 27.8
- Linke -1.1average 11.6
- Grüne -0.9average 14.4
- CDU/CSU -0.7average 21.2
- BSW +0.7average 2.8
- SPD -0.4average 12.4
- FDP -0.2average 4.7
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD214
- CDU/CSU151
- Grüne100
- SPD88
- Linke77
- AfD + CDU/CSU365 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + SPD402 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke391 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke379 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke328 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke316 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.