Single poll
INSA poll of 29 September 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 26 to 29 Sep 2025
- Respondents
- 2,006
- Method
- Online
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 25.0%. 2,006 people were surveyed from 26 to 29 Sep 2025, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 27 Sep 2025, no party moves by more than one point.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 29 Sep 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.0average 26.0
- SPD +0.7average 14.8
- AfD +0.5average 25.5
- Grüne +0.5average 11.0
- Linke +0.5average 10.5
- FDP -0.4average 3.4
- BSW ±0average 4.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD184
- CDU/CSU177
- SPD110
- Grüne81
- Linke78
- AfD + CDU/CSU361 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne375 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne368 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke365 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke343 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke336 of 630
More
More polls
← INSA, 27 Sep 2025INSA, 4 Oct 2025 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2025
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.