INSA poll of 29 September 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 26 to 29 Sep 2025
- Respondents
- 2,006
- Method
- Online
- AfD26.0%±0
- CDU/CSU25.0%±0
- SPD15.5%+0.5
- Grüne11.5%-0.5
- Linke11.0%±0
- BSW4.0%±0
- FDP3.0%±0
- Others4.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 27 Sep 2025.
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 25.0%. 2,006 people were surveyed from 26 to 29 Sep 2025, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 27 Sep 2025, no party moves by more than one point.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 29 Sep 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.0average 26.0
- SPD +0.7average 14.8
- AfD +0.5average 25.5
- Grüne +0.5average 11.0
- Linke +0.5average 10.5
- FDP -0.4average 3.4
- BSW ±0average 4.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD184
- CDU/CSU177
- SPD110
- Grüne81
- Linke78
- AfD + CDU/CSU361 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne375 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne368 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke365 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke343 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke336 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.