INSA poll of 27 September 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 22 to 26 Sep 2025
- Respondents
- 1,200
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- AfD26.0%±0
- CDU/CSU25.0%+0.5
- SPD15.0%+0.5
- Grüne12.0%+1.0
- Linke11.0%-0.5
- BSW4.0%±0
- FDP3.0%-0.5
- Others4.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 23 Sep 2025.
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 25.0%. 1,200 people were surveyed from 22 to 26 Sep 2025, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 23 Sep 2025, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Sep 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.0average 26.0
- Grüne +1.0average 11.0
- AfD +0.5average 25.5
- Linke +0.5average 10.5
- FDP -0.4average 3.4
- SPD +0.2average 14.8
- BSW ±0average 4.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD184
- CDU/CSU177
- SPD106
- Grüne85
- Linke78
- AfD + CDU/CSU361 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne375 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke368 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne368 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke361 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke347 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke340 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.