Single poll
INSA poll of 23 September 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 19 to 22 Sep 2025
- Respondents
- 2,002
- Method
- Online
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 24.5%. 2,002 people were surveyed from 19 to 22 Sep 2025, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 20 Sep 2025, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 1.6 points lower.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Sep 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.6average 26.1
- Linke +1.1average 10.4
- AfD +0.7average 25.3
- SPD -0.4average 14.9
- BSW -0.1average 4.1
- FDP +0.1average 3.4
- Grüne ±0average 11.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD187
- CDU/CSU177
- SPD104
- Linke83
- Grüne79
- AfD + CDU/CSU364 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke374 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne370 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke364 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne360 of 630
- AfD + Linke + Grüne349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne339 of 630
More
More polls
← INSA, 20 Sep 2025INSA, 27 Sep 2025 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2025
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.